Ferrari solely wants 27 factors to clinch the Constructors’ Championship within the 2025 FIA World Endurance Championship. Within the Drivers’ standings, the trio of Pier Guidi, Antonio Giovinazzi, and Alessandro Calado has a result in handle however can’t afford errors.
The season finale will happen in Bahrain, with the 8 Hours of Sakhir deciding the destiny of each the Drivers’ and Constructors’ titles. Main the championship with 204 factors, Ferrari arrives within the Center East aiming to finish a unprecedented season and shut the loop after its victory on the 24 Hours of Le Mans.
Porsche sits second with 165 factors and Cadillac third with 143, nonetheless holding a slim mathematical likelihood, however Ferrari enjoys a major security margin. WEC laws for eight-hour races award 1.5 occasions the factors of a six-hour occasion: 38 factors for first place, 27 for second, 23 for third, 18 for fourth, 15 for fifth, 12 for sixth, 9 for seventh, 6 for eighth, 3 for ninth, 2 for tenth, plus 1 bonus level for pole place.
WEC – Ferrari Constructors’ title: 27 factors for certainty
Given the present standings, the utmost factors a rival may obtain is 65 (in the event that they end first and second). Porsche, in second place, may subsequently attain a complete of 230 factors (165+65). This implies Ferrari, with 204 factors, wants a minimum of 231 to safe the championship no matter different outcomes.
In sensible phrases, this interprets to incomes a minimum of 27 factors in Bahrain, which might be achieved in a number of methods:
- A second-place end (27 factors) with out the pole place;
- A 3rd-place end (23 factors) mixed with ninth place (3 factors) and the bonus level for pole (23+3+1 = 27);
- A 3rd and an eighth place (23+6 = 29), which might additionally safe the title.
These calculations are primarily based on AI-generated simulations contemplating all potential ending mixtures between Ferrari and Porsche throughout the high ten. Out of three,780 hypothetical eventualities, 2,212 end in Ferrari clinching the Constructors’ title mathematically. In different phrases, in additional than half of practical instances, the Maranello group would emerge as champions, even when Porsche scores the utmost factors accessible.
Conversely, if Ferrari scores fewer than 27 factors, the title would stay open and depend upon the outcomes of the 963 LMDh automobiles. For instance, a fourth and ninth place (18+3=21) may go away Porsche with the prospect to surpass Ferrari with a one-two end.
You will need to be aware that the Constructors’ factors solely rely the 2 finest automobiles per producer. Due to this fact, the mixed efficiency of the official #50 and sister #51 499P automobiles can be decisive. Even strong top-five finishes for each automobiles, with out taking main dangers, can be sufficient to shut the season with the title in hand.
WEC – Ferrari Drivers’ championship: benefit for Pier Guidi, Giovinazzi, and Calado
On the Drivers’ facet, the battle is barely extra open however nonetheless favors Ferrari. The #51 crew (Pier Guidi, Giovinazzi, and Calado) leads with 115 factors, adopted by the #83 crew (Kubica, Ye, and Hanson) with 102 factors, and the #6 Porsche Penske Motorsport group (Estre, Vanthoor) shut behind.
The factors system is similar as for the Constructors’ Championship. For mathematical certainty, the #51 drivers should preserve a margin of a minimum of 39 factors over their closest rivals by the tip of the race, together with the bonus level for pole place.
Translated into eventualities, Pier Guidi and teammates can safe the title if:
- They win the race or end second, no matter different outcomes;
- They end third or fourth, supplied the #83 crew doesn’t win or achieve greater than 13 factors benefit over #51;
- They safe pole place, which may make a vital distinction in a good championship, given the importance of the bonus level in a seven-round season.
A top-three end, even and not using a win, is enough generally. Nonetheless, if Ferrari #51 fails to succeed in the rostrum, calculations change into extra advanced: a podium for #83 or a win for Porsche #6 may reopen the championship combat.
Remaining act in Bahrain for a Ferrari prepared for the title
The Sakhir circuit’s traits – abrasive floor and important temperature variations – may favor Ferrari, which has proven glorious tyre administration in 2025. The race tempo of the up to date 499P automobiles since Le Mans additionally appears higher suited to the observe structure in comparison with the German 963.
In abstract, a strong top-three consequence is sufficient to safe each titles. On the similar time, Ferrari can’t afford lapses in focus: a retirement or double end exterior the highest ten may reopen the championship battle.
Let different Scuderia Followers learn about us
